



|
COMPARING THREE MUSLIM BROTHERHOODS: SYRIA, JORDAN, EGYPT
Barry Rubin*
The
banner of the Islamist revolution in the Middle
East today has largely passed to groups sponsored by or derived
from the Muslim Brotherhood. This article develops an introductory
examination of three key Muslim Brotherhood groups and compares
their politics, interrelations, and methods. Each, of course,
is adapted to the conditions of a particular country.
The
banner of the Islamist revolution in the Middle East
today has largely passed to groups sponsored by or derived
from the Muslim Brotherhood. This article develops an introductory
examination of three key Muslim Brotherhood groups and compares
their politics, interrelations, and methods. Each, of course,
is adapted to the conditions of a particular country.
First, it is important
to understand the Brotherhood's policy toward and relations
with both jihadist groups (al-Qa'ida, the Zarqawi network,
and others such as Hizb al-Tahrir and Hamas) and theorists
(such as Abu Mus'ab al-Suri and Abu Muhammad al-Maqdisi).
The Brotherhoods
do not have ongoing relationships with Hizb al-Tahrir--which
is regarded by them as a small, cultish group of no importance.
Other than in Jordan, they have had little contact with it
at all.
Regarding al-Qa'ida--both
its theorists and its terrorist infrastructure--the Brotherhoods
approve generally of its militancy, attacks on America,
and ideology (or respect its ideologues), but view it as a
rival. An example of this kind of thinking comes from Rajab
Hilal Hamida, a Brotherhood member in Egypt's
parliament, who said:
From my point of
view, bin Ladin, al-Zawahiri and al-Zarqawi are not terrorists
in the sense accepted by some. I support all their activities,
since they are a thorn in the side of the Americans and the
Zionists.... [On the other hand,] he who kills Muslim citizens
is neither a jihad fighter nor a terrorist, but a criminal
and a murderer. We must call things by their proper names![1]
His final sentence
is intended to show the difference between the Brotherhood's
and al-Qa'ida's views of strategy and tactics.
Al-Qa'ida has a
growing presence in Syria, and it is trying to
grab militants who would otherwise be Brotherhood supporters.
In Jordan, it has operated
independently as a small group carrying out terrorist operations--which
have been condemned by the Brotherhood there, since a number
of Jordanians and Palestinians have been killed in bombings.
In Egypt the
story is somewhat different, since the jihadist group is an
al-Qa'ida affiliate, and many leaders--in fact one might argue
the principal influence--of the organization come from Egypt.[2] Again, though the factors of rivalry and concern
over government reactions would make the Brotherhood keep its
distance from al-Qa'ida, individuals, wanting more immediate
revolutionary action, have furnished recruits in the past.
In
considering the relationship of the Brotherhood groups with
al-Qa'ida three
key factors must be kept in mind. First, the Brotherhood and
the jihadists are the two main Islamist streams today. They
are not enemies, and there has been no violent conflict between
them, nor has there been a great deal of ideological battle.
Yet at the same time they are rivals, following different strategies
and knowing that one or the other would gain mass support and
perhaps state power. Thus, it would be misleading to speak
of cooperation, except in the special case of Iraq, as discussed
below.
Second,
a critical difference between the two groups is that the
jihadists--except
in Saudi Arabia and Iraq--focus on attacking what is called
the "far enemy," that is, Israel, the United States, the West
in general. The Brotherhoods, in contrast, while strongly anti-Israel
(and supporting Hamas, see below) and anti-Western, focus on
the "near enemy," that is, Arab governments. Thus, for them,
while al-Qa'ida is fighting for the cause, it is also undermining
it (except in Iraq) by pulling resources out of the struggle
for change within the Arab world.
Third,
while the Brotherhood groups are tactically flexible (as
has been shown
above), al-Qa'ida is exclusively focused on armed struggle.
The Brotherhood groups view the revolutionary process as a
long-term one, involving such things as providing social services,
educating and indoctrinating young people through institutions,
using elections, compromising at times with Arab governments,
showing restraint to avoid government repression, at times
allying with non-Islamist groups, and so on. Thus, while al-Qa'ida
is far more of a danger in terms of terrorism, it is far less
likely to seize state power because of what would be called
in Leninist terms, its "infantile leftism."
The
best example of this is the use of elections. In Jordan and
Egypt, Brotherhood
groups embraced opportunities to run candidates in elections
even when they knew that the regime would not count the votes
accurately or let them win. Al-Qa'ida has condemned elections
as putting human voters and parliamentarians in the place of
God in terms of making laws. Contrast here the views of the
al-Qa'ida leader in Iraq, Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi and the influential
Brotherhood ideologue Qaradawi. In a January 23, 2005 statement,
Zarqawi condemned the upcoming Iraqi elections and threatened
to kill those running and voting.[3] In sharp contrast, Qaradawi endorsed elections,
arguing that the majority of voters would back an Islamist
party, while liberals would get little support. If truly fair
elections were to be held, he insisted, Islamists would win
by a landslide.[4] This analysis correctly predicted the results
of the 2005 Egyptian and 2006 Palestinian elections.
In institutional
terms, all the above points apply in discussing the Iraqi insurgency
if one looks at it as a struggle led by al-Qa'ida. However,
in terms of the insurgency itself, while the Brotherhood groups
strongly support it and view it as an important struggle, there
is no institutional involvement, as there has been in backing
Palestinians in the past.
Additionally,
the Syrian Brotherhood has a problem, because the government
it
is fighting is a major patron of the Iraqi insurgency and uses
it to strengthen its support among the Islamists who function
publicly in Syria.
They support it enthusiastically, but in the short run, at
least, it does not benefit them; the Syrian Brotherhood would
be happier if the leadership did not come from al-Qa'ida.
If one wants a
parallel to past experience, one might compare the Brotherhoods' attitude
to revolution and armed struggle to the official Communist
parties and al-Qa'ida's to Maoist groups in the 1960s and 1970s.
The former argue that the time is not ripe for revolution and
that a variety of methods be used; the latter are for all-out
revolutionary struggle now.
Thus, the Brotherhood
groups have a profile of their own, self-consciously quite
different in strategy and tactics--though very parallel in ideology
and goals--from the jihadist groups.
To what extent
are the Brotherhood groups coordinating among themselves in
the International Organization of the Muslim Brotherhood? Does
it provide strategic orientation, tactical coordination, and
financial and/or operational support?
The
Brotherhoods operate in parallel rather than collectively,
and there is
virtually no coordination between them. If asked, Brotherhood
leaders in Egypt, Jordan,
and Syria would of course
say that they support each other, but in practice it is surprising
how little practical backing is offered. For one thing, they
are all internally oriented rather than internationalist, except
on the Palestinian and Iraq issues,
though some funds raised by Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood-controlled
institutions are donated to Islamist struggles abroad.
Aside
from their daily focus and largely "national revolution" goals,
there are other reasons for this orientation. Conditions
in each
country are very different; Abd-al-Majid al-Dhunaybat, controller-general
of the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood, said in an interview that
the groups in Egypt and Jordan make
their own decisions based on local conditions. Indeed, he denied
that any international organization existed and said that this
was an idea put forth by the Brotherhood's enemies.[5]
At the same time,
however, Dhunaybat admitted that the leader of the Egyptian
Brotherhood--elected only by that group--is seen as being the
supreme guide of the movement as a whole. In his words:
The brothers in
various countries... try to standardize the understanding, ideology
and positions regarding the world events involving all the
groups. Meetings take place every now and then... without there
being any obligation to a certain policy on the domestic level.
In other words, each country has its own exclusive organizational
and political nature and relations with the state in which
it exists. This gathering has no binding capacity regarding
any domestic decision.[6]
The individual
Brotherhoods have a specific problem with coordinating too
openly or extensively. The regimes in Egypt and Jordan would
not appreciate a vocal stance of calling for the overthrow
of other Arab governments, while in Syria the
movement is too harried to help anyone else and--except from Jordan--receives
little assistance in its life-and-death struggle. For all practical
purposes, while these groups respect the same ideologues--for
example, Yusuf Qaradawi--they operate independently and in response
to local conditions. This is another distinction between them
and al-Qa'ida, whose effort to create an Islamist International
is in sharp contrast to Brotherhood practice.
Even
when the Brotherhoods influence the movement in other places,
these contacts are
bilateral. For example, Hamas in the Gaza Strip is related
to the Egyptian Brotherhood, while Hamas in the West Bank has
its links to the Jordanian Brotherhood. Furthermore, to make
matters even more complex, the Hamas external leadership
is located in Damascus, where the Syrian Brotherhood is outlawed,
and its patron is the regime that persecutes the Brotherhood.
At times, in discussing the Hamas victory, Egyptian Muslim
Brotherhood sources have said that the "Muslim Brotherhood" won
the Palestinian elections. Yet, again, these are parallel and
fraternal movements, not truly branches of a transnational
organization.
Next, the strategic
and tactical orientation of each national branch (objectives,
alliances, organizational forms, attitudes toward the political
system in the country where it operates, etc.) should be considered.
What
is truly remarkable in discussing the Muslim Brotherhoods
of Syria, Jordan, and Egypt is how three groups
so parallel in origin, ideology, and goals have developed so
differently due to the local situations they face. This fact
also reflects the difference between the Muslim Brotherhood
and al-Qa'ida groups. The former have proven tactically flexible;
the latter committed to armed struggle as the only proper strategy.
One might sum up
the conditions in this way: The Muslim Brotherhood groups are
as anti-American and extreme in their goals as the bin Ladinist
ones. However, they almost always put the emphasis on gaining
power within the context of a single country, compared to the
international jihadist policy of al-Qa'ida. Equally, Muslim
Brotherhood groups are far more likely to seize power than
the bin Ladinist ones, but as long as they do not govern countries,
they are also less dangerous in terms of terrorist violence.
It also should be noted, however, that many violent revolutionary
groups--especially in Egypt--have emerged from the more militant end
of the Muslim Brotherhood spectrum.
Briefly, the distinction
between the Syrian, Jordanian, and Egyptian groups may be summarized
as follows:
The Syrian Muslim
Brotherhood is a revolutionary underground group, because it
has been outlawed by the government there. Law Number
49 of 1981 declares mere membership in the group to be punishable
by death. In 1982, the
regime unleashed a huge wave of repression against the Muslim
Brotherhood, destroying much of its infrastructure and driving
it into exile. The Brotherhood has unsuccessfully tried to
regain from the regime the right to operate in Syria. Thus, for
example, in 2001, it supported a manifesto backed by a broad
spectrum of oppositionists urging the end of single-party rule
and holding democratic elections.[7] Given the failure of these efforts, the Syrian
Muslim Brotherhood today is part of a broad coalition of anti-regime
groups, which include the former vice president of the regime.
In political terms, it functions as a leading group--perhaps
in the future, the leader--of the Sunni Arab community, which
comprises roughly 60 percent of the population. Thus, it can
be characterized as revolutionary (though not necessarily through
its own preference) and communalist. Yet while the Egyptian
and Jordanian Brotherhoods are in an optimistic mood and are
arguably gaining ground, their Syrian counterpart is frustrated
and prevented from exploiting a trend toward Islamist thinking
in Syria. In recent years, the regime has cultivated
Syrian Islamists by building new mosques, allowing radicals
to be preachers, and supporting the Islamist insurgency in
neighboring Iraq. For obvious
reasons, these cultivated activists have not adhered to the
Muslim Brotherhood and may build rival groups, including al-Qa'ida
affiliates.
As
for the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood, it is a legal group
that uses peaceful
methods and participates in elections through its political
wing, the Islamic Action Front. It has at times cooperated
with the monarchy, though recently relations have been strained
by its show of sympathy for al-Qa'ida's leader in Iraq, Abu
Mus'ab al-Zarqawi, which led to a regime crackdown on the
Brotherhood in July 2006. It is restrained
due to fear of repression but also moderated by having a share
of authority. It controls professional groups and other institutions.
However, it also knows that the regime will never let it win
elections. Thus, the key element of its strategy is a willingness
to remain permanently a group that enjoys benefits and privileges
but cannot take power or change the country. While it appeals
to many Palestinians, the Jordanian Brotherhood also has a
considerable East Bank membership and thus is not a communalist
organization. Given the decline of the Palestinian Liberation
Organization (PLO) and Fatah (that is, Palestinian nationalism),
the Brotherhood could become the main organization gaining
loyalty from Jordanian Palestinians.
The Egyptian Muslim
Brotherhood is somewhere in between its two counterparts. It
is not technically legal, but is allowed to function normally
most of the time. Leaders and activists are periodically arrested
by the government to remind the Brotherhood that it functions
only if the regime finds its behavior satisfactory. Denied
the right to have a party of its own, however, the Muslim Brotherhood
has found it easy to work with or even virtually take over
other parties, notably the Wafd in the 1980s, and is even willing
to work with liberals to press the regime for concessions.
In the 2005 elections, when allowed to run what amounted to
its own slate, the Brotherhood won 20 percent of the seats
in parliament.[8] While it is incorrect to say that the Egyptian
Brotherhood has not been involved with violence--and many factions
have also left to form terrorist groups--the movement generally
avoids it.
To
gain a sense of how the Brotherhood can conduct a cultural
war, the case
of Faraj Fawda is indicative. Fawda was a liberal critic of
the Islamists. In 1992, Fawda debated Brotherhood leader Muhammad
al-Ghazali at the Cairo Book Fair. Brotherhood members in the
audience heckled Fawda. When Fawda was murdered five months
later by an Islamist, Ghazali testified at the killer's trial,
saying that he had acted properly in killing an "apostate" like
Fawda. After being sentenced to execution, the defendant shouted: "Now
I will die with a clear conscience!"[9]
The Brotherhoods
also played a key role in the Danish cartoon controversy. Qaradawi
was a key person in spreading the protest movement. The Egyptian
Brotherhood demanded an apology for the publication and urged
a boycott of Danish products.[10] The Islamic Action Front organized
a protest demonstration in Amman.[11] They clearly saw this as a good issue on which
to build a broad base, as defending Islam against alleged attacks
on it in the West. Abu Laban himself has strong ties to the
Muslim Brotherhood, so he connected into this network on his
visit in an attempt to get an active response on the issue.
To carry out their
operations, the Brotherhood groups are reasonably well-funded.
Their money seems to come from four major sources. First, rich
adherents to the movements give donations. This is especially
true of Egyptians who emigrated to Saudi Arabia or Kuwait and
became rich there. One of the main Islamist Egyptian businessmen
is Hisham Tal'at Mustafa, who is a partner of the Saudi billionaire
Prince al-Walid ibn Talal al-Sa'ud. Second, the Brotherhoods
in Jordan and Egypt control
professional and other associations from which funds can be
drained for their cause. Third, in Egypt at
least, there are Islamic banks and enterprises--sometimes involved
with major corruption scandals--which are a source of money.
Finally, there is international funding, including Saudi state
and Kuwaiti or Saudi charitable foundations, in some cases
passed through the international organization. The Saudis and
Kuwaitis involved are not so much trying to use the Brotherhoods
as state sponsors but rather merely ensuring that they do nothing
inimical to Saudi or Kuwaiti interests.
Is
the Muslim Brotherhood conducive to dialogue with the United
States, and if so, over what specific
issues? If by dialogue what is meant is to talk to American
officials, the answer is generally yes. However, if what is
meant here is the ability of American officials to change Brotherhood
positions through explanations and mutual understanding or
to engage in negotiations that would lead to any cooperation,
the answer is generally no.
The
Islamic Front in Jordan says that holding
such a dialogue is a decision that might be taken by any individual
group. Dhunaybat has no objection to his Egyptian colleagues
doing it, but:
We
in Jordan, however, believe that in terms of the situation
in the Arab and Islamic world, particularly with
regard to Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine
and its role in the region, America does
not want a dialogue in which it can listen to others and
change its policies. What we see is that it wants to
dictate certain
terms by promoting this so-called dialogue, which is like
giving instructions. Therefore, I believe that there
is no benefit
in holding a dialogue with the people in charge of the
U.S. policy.[12]
Yet Dhunaybat
also has no objection to the Islamic Action Front in Jordan--which
his group largely controls--from having a dialogue with the
United
States. This approach is clearly a division
of labor in which the Brotherhood maintains the stance of an
internationalist revolutionary group, while the Front, as a
political party, can have such contacts if it aids its own
interests.
There
are some specific points on which the Brotherhoods both want
to influence
the United States and think that doing so would be
possible. These include the Egyptian Brotherhood's desire that
the United States push harder for democratic elections
and more civic rights in Egypt. While they would denounce such
things publicly as imperialistic, the Brotherhood wants to
widen its
sphere for public action. If elections were freer, the Brotherhood
could win more seats. Indeed, some leaders believe it would
win outright in free elections, though this is more doubtful.
Of course, another goal of the Brotherhood is to win legal
status as an organization.
Syria
is clearly the most interesting case. Both the United States
and the Syrian Brotherhood view
the regime as an enemy. Would this be a case of the adage that
the enemy of my enemy is my friend? The answer is likely, yes.
The Syrian Brotherhood might well be willing to talk about
U.S. covert support. Indeed, since it is participating in
a wider coalition
also, it could more easily excuse such a policy as going along
with its partners.
It
should be stressed, however, that this is a dangerous game.
A stronger Syrian Brotherhood
might be able to seize leadership of the 60 percent Sunni Arab
population and take over the country, transforming Syria into
an Islamic republic. Such an outcome could create far worse
crises and threats to U.S. influence
in the region. In addition, it should be noted that while the
Muslim Brotherhoods in Egypt and Jordan are the largest Islamist
factors in their respective countries, this is no longer
necessarily true for
their counterpart in Syria.
The
Brotherhoods' view of the United States and its allies
is profoundly hostile. They view the United States as extremely
hostile, trying to take over the Middle East and destroy
Islam. While they are passionately opposed
to U.S. support
for Israel,
they are no happier with American support for the Egyptian
and Jordanian regimes.
In
terms of their analysis of and hostility toward the United
States, there is not much difference between
the Brotherhoods and al-Qa'ida, though their responses to this
analysis are very different. One difference in analysis is
that al-Qa'ida argues that American support is the main reason
why Arab regimes survive. This legitimates their priority on
attacking the United States. The
Brotherhoods have a more sophisticated understanding of the
sources of power and support for regimes, though they overstate
American influence and responsibility in their own countries.
The
preceding analysis may seem to apply mainly to Egypt and
Jordan. The Syrian Brotherhood
has to deal with the fact of American hostility toward Damascus,
though it no doubt has some belief in conspiracy theories
that they are secretly allied. At any rate,
this does not make them any less anti-American. One response
may be to argue that America is
a great threat to Syria but
that the Ba'thist regime is incapable of handling it and that
only an Islamist government could do so victoriously.
Given
these positions, the Brotherhoods' support for the Iraqi
insurgency is not surprising. All three, including their top
leaders,
have attacked the U.S. presence in Iraq in the most extreme
terms and have called for supporting the insurgents. It should
be remembered that
even if the Brotherhood groups do not have institutional
links to the insurgency leadership (which largely comes from
al-Qa'ida),
they are all Sunni Arab Islamists and in this case seem undisturbed
by this distinction.[13] When
Zarqawi, himself a Jordanian, was killed, Zaki Sa'd, the
leader of the Islamic
Action Front, praised him but also distinguished the Brotherhood
from al-Qa'ida regarding their tactics. Zarqawi, he said, was
acting not only legitimately but as a Muslim must act in fighting
the American forces in Iraq,
and the Islamic Action Front supported these actions. Yet it
also denounced operations targeting innocent civilians. He
did not specifically mention Iraqis in this context but used
as his examples the bloody bombing of hotels in Amman by al-Qa'ida
forces. [14]
The
Brotherhoods have not directly organized units or sent members
to Iraq,
though it is probable that some of the Jordanians (but fewer
of the Egyptians or Syrians) who go there might be rank-and-file
members. After all, the leaders of all three groups have told
them that fighting the Americans is an Islamic duty. It should
also be noted, however, that contrary to al-Qa'ida, the Brotherhoods
focus on fighting the American forces rather than the Iraqi
Shi'a and Kurds. For them, the battle in Iraq is
against non-Muslims rather than an attempt to take over the
country and defeat non-Arabs or non-Sunni Muslims there.[15]
In what direction,
then, are the Brotherhood groups evolving? Each Muslim Brotherhood
group faces a key question regarding its evolution. For the
Egyptians, it is whether to continue in the phase of da'wa--recruiting,
propagandizing, base-building, and accepting the limits the
government places on it--or to move into a more activist phase,
demanding political changes and being willing to confront the
regime. Given the organization's current high level of confidence,
as the younger generation takes over and the government perhaps
appears weaker--especially during the transition to a new president--it
could well push harder.
In Jordan, the movement faces the same options,
but is probably even more skewed to the side of caution. Its
choice is whether to accept the limits of its current operation
or to push harder on elections and on a real parliamentary
system in which the legislature can affect the monarch's policies
and decisions. Especially important--and delicate--here is the
communal relationship. The Brotherhood could become more dependent
on Palestinian support, which would broaden its base while
also making it more suspect to the regime. It seems likely
that caution will prevail.
As for Syria, the
Brotherhood there faces the possibility of beginning an active
revolutionary armed struggle to overthrow the regime, trying
to use the unpopularity of the Alawite-dominated government
(the Alawites are not even Muslims) to rouse the Sunni Arab
majority to jihad. Given the weakness of the current Syrian
leadership, its international isolation, and multiple problems--far
greater than its counterparts in Egypt and Jordan--it is quite
possible that a major crisis would be seen by the Brotherhood
as creating such a revolutionary situation. Yet newer groups
with stronger bases in Syria, or at least able to
operate more freely there, might be the ones who gain most
from this situation.
In terms of their
stands on different issues, especially regarding international
affairs, the Brotherhoods are fairly candid. Inasmuch as they
conceal anything, it is to downplay their goal of an Islamist
state in which they rule or specific points such as the likely
treatment of non-Muslims in a country they would rule. The
cautious rhetoric of the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood concerning
domestic politics, the Syrian Brotherhood's willingness to
participate in a broad anti-regime front, and the Egyptian
Brotherhood's professions of support for democracy all conceal
their objectives of monopolizing power and transforming their
societies.
Yet
this does not mean that these goals are not often discussed,
even publicly.
Sometimes this is done indirectly. For example, such key Egyptian
Brotherhood leaders as Salah Abu Isma'il and Muhammad al-Ghazali,
and then-head of the organization Omar al-Tilmisani praised
Sudan at a time when it had temporarily become
an Islamist state.[16] They certainly endorsed the application of Muslim
law, Shari'a, as the law of the land and have advocated this
continually.[17]
In its March 2004
platform, the Egyptian Brotherhood stated:
Our
mission is to implement a comprehensive reform in order
to uphold
God's
law in secular as well as religious matters.... Our
only hope, if we wish to achieve any type of progress,
is to adhere
to
our religion, as we used to, and to apply the Shari'a
(Islamic law).[18]
In
order to achieve this goal, the Brotherhood's "mission is to build a Muslim
individual, a Muslim family and an Islamic rule to lead other
Islamic states." On specific points, it explains, this
means that the media should be censored to coincide with Islam,
and the economic and political system should also be structured
in this vein. Equally, the "focus of education," at least in
the early years of schooling, "should be on learning the Qur'an
by heart," and "women should only hold the kind of posts
that would preserve their virtue." In parliament, Egyptian
Brotherhood members have focused on trying to control the culture,
with a great deal of indirect success.
The
Brotherhood's former leader and guide, Mamun al-Hudaybi,
explained that its
purpose is to establish Islamic unity and an Islamic Caliphate,
while former Supreme Guide Mustafa Mashur stated: "We
accept the concept of pluralism for the time being; however,
when we will have Islamic rule we might then reject this concept
or accept it."[19]
Within the Brotherhood
groups, there are also examples of pluralism, most obviously
in the Egyptian case. Like parties based on Marxism, from the
start, the Brotherhood had a strategy built on the notion of
stages. The first stage is base-building. Individuals and families
are indoctrinated with proper thought and behavior, coming
to constitute a society within the society based on Shari'a.
This is the phase of da'wa, a historic Muslim word meaning
spreading the faith but which here can be likened to mass-
and cadre-organizing. As with Communist parties, the key question
is when this phase should be turned into a revolutionary stage,
where active measures are taken to seize state power.
The
older leadership, which has a better memory of the massive
regime repression
during the period from the 1950s to 1980s, is more cautious.
An example is the current guide, top leader Muhammad Mahdi
Akif, who joined in 1948 and was imprisoned in the 1950s and
1960s.
Some of the younger
and middle-aged members want a more energetic policy, not using
violence but pushing harder for elections, being more aggressive
in demanding legalization, and eventually running a candidate
for president. Their experience often comes from involvement
in the Jama'at al-Islamiyya (Islamic Group) in the 1970s, a
more militant organization that did extensive student and community
organizing, after which some of its members joined the armed
struggle of the 1990s.[20] Examples here include such Brotherhood leaders
as Isam al-Aryan, head of the political bureau, and Abd al-Mun'im
Abu al-Futuh.
One issue on which
there are disputes is how to deal with the likely succession
from President Husni Mubarak to his son, Gamal. One view is
to make a deal with the government in which the Brotherhood
accepts this transition in exchange for legalization, an end
to the emergency laws, and fairer elections.
In
Syria, there are not any clear major differences within the
Muslim Brotherhood. This, however, does not just
reflect strength. Those who have different views are instead
operating as independent Islamists or perhaps even thinking
of turning to al-Qa'ida rather than joining the Brotherhood
and expressing their positions in its ranks. It should be emphasized
that for a Syrian Islamist to join the Brotherhood today is
a questionable decision, because he could organize for Islamism
far more freely as an independent who conceals his ultimate
goals. In other words, the Syrian Brotherhood might come to
be seen as an outdated organization of a previous generation,
a phenomenon that is clearly not happening in Egypt (where
the Brotherhood outlasted its younger rivals) or Jordan.
*Barry
Rubin is director of the Global Research in International
Affairs (GLORIA) Center, Interdisciplinary University, and
editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs
(MERIA) Journal. His latest book is The Truth About
Syria (Palgrave Macmillan, 2007). For details and to order, click
here.
NOTES
[1] Ruz
al-Yusuf, January 28-February 3, 2006.
[2] For
a history and analysis of Islamist movements in Egypt,
see Barry Rubin, Islamic Fundamentalism
in Egyptian Politics, Second Revised Edition (Palgrave
Press, 2002).
[5] Al-Sharq
al-Awsat, February 10, 2006.
[7] Al-Hayat,
January 16, 2001.
[8] On the Brotherhood's participation
in the debate over elections, see A. Shefa, "Towards the
September 7 Presidential Elections in Egypt: Public Debate
over the Change in the Electoral
System," Middle East Media Research Insititute (MEMRI) Inquiry
and Analysis Series, No. 237, September 2, 2005, http://memri.org/bin/articles.cgi?Page=archives&Area=ia&ID=IA23705.
[9] On
this and other issues in the struggle between Islamists and
liberals, see Barry Rubin, The Long War for Freedom: The
Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (NY: Wiley
Press, 2005), pp. 1, 23-24.
[10] Times
of London,
January 31, 2006.
[11] Gulf
News, February 11, 2006.
[12] Al-Sharq
al-Awsat, February 10, 2006.
[13] For
examples, see the documents translated in "The Muslim Brotherhood
Movement in Support of Fighting Americans Forces in Iraq," MEMRI Special
Dispatch Series, No. 776, September 3, 2004.
[15] See
for example the interview with Humam Sa'id, assistant controller
general of the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood, in al-Sharq
al-Awsat, August 7, 2004.
[16] On
these issues and on the Muslim Brotherhood as a parliamentary
party, see Magdi Khalil, "Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood and
Political Power: Would Democracy Survive?" Middle
East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal,
Vol. 9, No. 2 (June 2006), http://meria.idc.ac.il/journal/2006/issue1/jv10no1a3.html.
[17] This point is discussed in Rubin, Islamic
Fundamentalism in Egyptian Politics.
[20] For
a detailed history of this era and group, see Rubin, The
Long War for Freedom.
MERIA Journal
Staff
Publisher and Editor: Prof. Barry Rubin
Assistant Editors: Cameron Brown, Yeru Aharoni, Yechiam Brot,
Deborah Touboul
MERIA is a project of the Global Research in International
Affairs (GLORIA) Center, Interdisciplinary University.
Site: http://meria.idc.ac.il -
Email: gloria@idc.ac.il
*Serving Readers Throughout the Middle East and in 100 Countries*
All material copyright MERIA Journal.
You must credit if
quoting and ask permission to reprint.
|